UFC 255 Betting Preview for Figueiredo vs. Perez: Cashing in on the Champ
Updated: Dec 7, 2020
This Saturday night at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo faces his first test as king of the divisional mountain against Alex Perez.
This may be the champion’s first challenge since capturing the title, but so far, he’s passed every test he’s been faced with. The Brazilian is 19-1 with 16 finishes (84% of his victories) and in his lone defeat against Jussier Formiga, Formiga failed to put him away as the bout went to the judges.
If you add to this the fact Figueiredo started his career with 15 straight wins until the loss to Formiga, you will understand why he is both the OddsUSA betting favorite and the favorite of the oddsmakers, clocking in at -325 at FanDuel. Both men fighting in the main event may be unknown to many sports fans, but that could all change by Sunday as fireworks are expected
Tale of the Tape for UFC 255
Thanks to Sherdog.com’s By the Numbers series, we know the champion has eight knockdowns to his credit since joining the division, placing him first on the organization’s all-time list at 125 pounds. For those dying to know, John Lineker (seven), Benavidez (six), John Dodson (six) and Ryan Benoit (four) round out the Top 5.
Meanwhile, Perez has racked up “1.51 knockdowns landed per 15 minutes in the UFC, giving Perez the highest such rate for a flyweight in promotional history. Figueiredo (1.37) ranks second all-time in the category at 125 pounds.”
Both men also have finishes in under a minute. Figueiredo subbed David Raimundo Arcangela Silva with a guillotine choke outside the UFC for the fastest submission win of his career. Perez made Jeff Carso tap with a standing guillotine also before joining the UFC.
Figueiredo vs. Perez Betting Pick: It’s Good to be the Champ
OddsUSA expects the champ to get things done come fight night. He lands fewer significant strikes per minute but is eight percent more accurate and absorbs less per minute than Perez.
Perez lands roughly three takedowns every 15 minutes to the champion’s 1.71. They are dead even in takedown accuracy at 50% but Perez has an 87-61% edge in takedown defense. This should not be a problem as both men are a threat everywhere, but Figueiredo prefers to throw hands more often than not.
Both men are incredibly dangerous, and it would be a surprise if this one goes the 25-minute distance. Figueiredo’s average fight time is just under ten minutes and Perez’s time is just under seven minutes. If this somehow does go to the scorecards, it could be a bloody spectacle all the way to the end a la Lawler-McDonald at UFC 189, a fight that shortens careers.
Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo def. Alex Perez by finish for the UFC flyweight championship.
Figueiredo by KO/TKO (-120)
Figueiredo by Submission (+460)