Can Errol Spence Jr. Retain His Titles Against Danny Garcia?


As another weekend approaches, there are more fights to look forward to. The boxing world will have its eyes on Errol Spence Jr. and Danny Garcia’s title fight this Saturday night. The action goes down at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas but until then, educate yourself with our preview.


The defending champion should be the favorite, and Spence Jr. is – he’s currently sitting at -500. “The Truth” is unbeaten at 26-0 with 21 knockouts. However, there is concern as Spence Jr. is returning to the ring after a car accident that he says nearly cost him his life.

“I think angels were with me. I didn’t break any bones. Doctors couldn’t believe it. For someone to get ejected from the Ferrari, and land on the concrete. The only thing that was hurting was my neck, my hip, and both my shoulders. My shoulder was scraped up, and my leg was scraped up. I should have lost my life that night, he told the “All The Smoke” podcast.

While Garcia might be underestimated in this fight because of the two losses on his record, SB Nation mentioned both bouts were competitive. According to Box.live “Swift” last entered the ring roughly 10 months ago while Spence Jr has been sidelined for over a year. He also has the experience edge, debuting in 2007 while Spence Jr. debuted in 2012.


When it comes to how they fight, again we refer you back to SB Nation’s Scott Christ.

Christ wrote, “Garcia was not an opponent to take lightly. Never has been. Yes, he’s got two losses, but both were very competitive, and he has held belts at 140 and 147. He’s a crafty, smart boxer who doesn’t get himself in trouble often, has some pop — particularly in his counter left hook — and has been on the world title level for nearly a decade now.

Also of note is that statistically, southpaws like Garcia are at an advantage.

Per ExpertBoxing.com, “The orthodox fighter will always be at a disadvantage against a southpaw because he doesn’t train his offense and defense regularly to mimic southpaw opponents. In contrast, the southpaw is far more comfortable against orthodox opponents. His offense and defense has always been tailored for orthodox opponents.”

Spence Jr. has the better knockout rate (81 percent compared to 58 percent via Box.live). This means he also has the shorter average fight time (4.6 rounds to Garcia’s 6.8 rounds.) That’s something OddsUSA can’t ignore. He also views the pandemic as extended recovery time.

“This pandemic really [has] been helping me out a lot. Basically, recovery, taking my time and getting back. I’m already back; I’m 100%…No restrictions in my training except sparring. I can’t spar yet because I got my teeth knocked out, and they put three posts in my mouth. Once they heal, I get my permanent teeth, and then I’ll be able to spar,” Spence Jr. said previously.

Spence may look a little rusty perhaps and it will take time to get momentum going, the champ should still pick up another ‘W’.


Prediction: Errol Spence def. Danny Garcia by KO/TKO to retain his titles



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