Glover Teixeira vs. Ovince Saint Preux Preview
CBS Sports Radio 920 AM and InsideSTL.com will invade Nashville, Tennessee’s Bridgestone Arena this Saturday night, August 8. Before Glover Teixeira and “OSP” throw down, hopefully this article will be a good indicator of how the battle could go. In MMA however, you never really know what could happen...
Teixeira is shown as the favorite in UFC.com’s fantasy preview (-120 to Saint Preux +100) with almost all of the site’s stats favoring him in spite of coming off time away due to injury and back to back losses to Jon Jones and Phil Davis in 2014.
Meanwhile, OSP has won both of his most recent contests with his first, a 34 second TKO against Mauricio “Shogun” Rua, coming a month after his upcoming opponent last fought in October. His second most recent triumph against Patrick Cummins took slightly longer, but was still finished in the first.
Teixeira’s and St. Preux are relatively even: 4.15 to 2.63 significant strikes landed per minute for Teixeira, who leads leads with seven percent more than St. Preux in strike defense. However, OSP’s strike accuracy is nearly ten percent better (50.94 percent to 41.28 percent). Teixeira may have the edge in strike defense (58.27 percent to 51.37 percent), which isn’t great, but over the majority are defended by both.
Then OSP counters with a 60.87 to 50 percent advantage in takedown accuracy and a higher takedown defense percentage with 66.07 to 60 percent.
I expect ring rust on the part of Teixeira to lead to a win for St. Preux. I also expect this five round war to take OSP more time. His opponent has an even 3-3 win-loss record as far as going to the judges is concerned. St. Preux is also a veteran of going to the distance, only with a slightly less impressive decision record of 4-5.
Over the course of their careers, Teixeira is actually the more experienced fighter overall, so I believe this fight will end somewhere near the middle with the speed of St. Preux tiring out the man on the opposite side of the cage. Teixeira’s numbers might be a little skewed given that he hasn’t fought since 2014, but to me they still serve as a good sign that the bout will be like a hard hitting boxing match. Of Teixeira’s 22 overall victories, six are submissions with 13 KO/TKOs.
For every strike that the Tennessee native St. Preux absorbs per minute, his Brazilian counterpart takes just over three. It only takes one to put a fighter’s face to the floor.
Of course, it’s a very important fight for the two of us,” Teixeira told MMAJunkie.com. “We have to train hard and perform for the fans. Whether I’m coming off a win or a loss, each time I want to show a new Glover Teixeira. I want to demonstrate that I can fight for the belt again – and win it.
Teixeira appears to have had a better training camp heading into this contest, but training and competing are obviously two separate things because training partners aren’t trying to make you faceplant and take your spot en route to a title.
“...I cut too much weight for that fight. But now I’m more focused. I’m walking around lighter, and I’m working on my speed. After the Davis fight, I never got heavier than 230 pounds, not once.”
I may not see things going Teixeira’s way, but both men have ended far more fights than those that they’ve let slip out of their control into the hands of judges. With just two days to go until the clash, a decision definitely doesn’t appear to be on the mind of either combatant, but entertainment is on the way.
“We’re just going to get violent. Ovince Saint Preux is a great fighter. It will be a great fight.”
Prediction: Ovince St. Preux victorious by Round 3 KO/TKO